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Jiro Practice Impact Analysis · September 2026

Who Pays for CMS’s Modifier 25 Proposal?

A claims-based analysis of the nearly $1 billion payment impact across practice settings and specialties.

$889M

in annual Medicare fee-for-service payments modeled as reallocated

At a glance

The impact would not be distributed evenly.

Jiro modeled the proposal against one year of Medicare fee-for-service claims. Private practices and solo physicians account for most of the modeled reductions, with the impact concentrated in a small number of specialties.

$889M

Annual Medicare fee-for-service payments modeled as reallocated

$724.4M

Modeled reductions tied to private practices and solo physicians

$395.4M

Modeled impact attributed to dermatology alone

What CMS proposed

One encounter. A different payment calculation.

When a Modifier 25 E/M visit and a qualifying global-period procedure occur on the same day, CMS would pay the highest-valued service in full and reduce each other qualifying service by 50%.

Highest-valued service

100%

Each other qualifying service

50%

Where the reductions concentrate

Private practices and six specialties carry most of the exposure.

Modeled reductions by practice setting

Private practices and solo physicians81.5%
Hospital, health-system and academic17.6%
Other0.9%

Aggregate modeled reduction by specialty

Dermatology$395.4M
Podiatry$85.7M
Orthopedics$83.0M
Otolaryngology$82.2M
Ophthalmology$46.2M
Family medicine$39.1M

Practice-level variation

Specialty averages do not tell the whole story.

The distance between the median and 90th percentile shows how differently organizations within the same specialty could experience the proposal.

Dermatology
$45K$214K
Otolaryngology
$28K$135K
Orthopedics
$21K$129K
Ophthalmology
$21K$105K

1,795 higher-volume organizations account for 55% of the modeled national total.

This is where Jiro’s analytical capability becomes most tangible: moving from national policy to the practice-level patterns driving exposure.

What happens next

The analysis will be updated when CMS publishes the final rule.

September 14

Public comment period closed

10,000+ comments

Referenced Modifier 25

By November 1

Final rule expected

January 1, 2027

Any finalized policy takes effect

Private impact briefing

What could the Modifier 25 proposal mean for your practice?

National and specialty findings provide context. Procedure mix, Medicare volume and same-day service patterns determine an individual organization’s potential exposure.